The domestic politics of ceasefire are as treacherous in the United States as in Iran. Trump’s announcement of a ceasefire offer — apparently made without the full coordination of his national security team — was received with skepticism on both sides of the American political aisle. Hawkish Republicans and Democrats alike questioned whether any ceasefire that did not include verifiable constraints on Iran’s nuclear program was worth accepting. Progressive Democrats raised separate concerns about the humanitarian conduct of the conflict. For Trump, the political calculation is partly about optics: a ceasefire that can be presented as an American diplomatic victory, regardless of whether it actually resolves the underlying security issues, would be domestically useful. This creates an incentive for agreements that look substantial but kick hard problems down the road — the classic pattern of conflicts that get managed rather than resolved.
この記事を書いた人
灰島
30代の日本人。国際情勢・地政学・経済を日常的に読み続けている。歴史の文脈から現代を読むアプローチで、世界のニュースを考察している。専門家ではないが、誠実に、感情も交えながら書く。

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